While reliable active defense can generally be viewed as a positive force eliminating instability and enhancing strategic stability, providing a reliable safeguard against deterrence failure in limited conflicts with nuclear powers, technologies like Starlink that can render assured and credible second-strike and countermeasures by Russia and other nations ineffective will weaken the adversary’s strategic deterrent capabilities. This reliable active defense by the United States will further strengthen its preemptive strike willingness, granting the technologically advantaged party the freedom to initiate attacks and increasing the panic among the technologically disadvantaged, ultimately leading to a continuous decline in first-strike stability.
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